How does "Will USD/INR cross ₹90 before 31 December 2026?" resolve?

Any FBIL daily reference rate fixing in 2026 shows USD/INR ≥ 90.0000. Source: RBI reference rate (fbil.org.in). Deadline: Thu, 31 Dec 2026 18:29:00 UTC.

What is the current YES price?

YES trades at 31¢ and NO trades at 69¢. Prices represent implied probability and range from 0¢ to 100¢.

What does the market pay out?

Each YES share pays $1 USDC if the market resolves YES, $0 otherwise. NO shares are the inverse. Settlement is in USDC on Polygon.

📈 Business ends in 8mo

Will USD/INR cross ₹90 before 31 December 2026?

Volume $194.6k Liquidity $26.1k 481 traders Closes Thu, 31 Dec 2026 18:29:00 UTC

YES

31¢

69¢

About this market

Middle East conflict and oil price shocks create FX pressure. Resolves YES if the RBI reference rate for USD/INR closes at ≥ ₹90.0000 on any business day on or before 31 December 2026.

Resolution source

RBI reference rate (fbil.org.in)

Resolution deadline

Thu, 31 Dec 2026 18:29:00 UTC

Criteria: Any FBIL daily reference rate fixing in 2026 shows USD/INR ≥ 90.0000.

Recent activity

live

YES 0x8a…92f1 bought 420 shares @ 31¢

12s ago

NO 0x21…ab03 bought 180 shares @ 69¢

1m ago

YES 0xff…1254 bought 50 shares @ 30¢

3m ago

NO 0xc4…77ae bought 900 shares @ 71¢

4m ago

YES 0x09…1aa3 bought 1240 shares @ 29¢

7m ago

YES 0xa2…ef10 bought 75 shares @ 30¢

12m ago

Top holders

1 0x8a…92f1 YES

12,450 shares

2 0xc4…77ae NO

9,820 shares

3 0x09…1aa3 YES

7,110 shares

4 0xff…1254 YES

5,280 shares

5 0x21…ab03 NO

4,650 shares