How does "Will the LDF retain power in Kerala in 2026?" resolve?

ECI final result shows LDF with ≥71 Assembly seats and government formed. Source: results.eci.gov.in. Deadline: Mon, 15 Jun 2026 14:00:00 UTC.

What is the current YES price?

YES trades at 37¢ and NO trades at 63¢. Prices represent implied probability and range from 0¢ to 100¢.

What does the market pay out?

Each YES share pays $1 USDC if the market resolves YES, $0 otherwise. NO shares are the inverse. Settlement is in USDC on Polygon.

🗳️ Politics ends in 55d 18h

Will the LDF retain power in Kerala in 2026?

Volume $198.3k Liquidity $28.9k 672 traders Closes Mon, 15 Jun 2026 14:00:00 UTC

YES

37¢

63¢

About this market

Kerala's 140-seat Assembly votes in 2026. Incumbent LDF vs UDF vs an aggressive BJP-led NDA. Resolves YES if LDF wins ≥71 seats and forms government per the final ECI result.

Resolution source

results.eci.gov.in

Resolution deadline

Mon, 15 Jun 2026 14:00:00 UTC

Criteria: ECI final result shows LDF with ≥71 Assembly seats and government formed.

Recent activity

live

YES 0x8a…92f1 bought 420 shares @ 37¢

12s ago

NO 0x21…ab03 bought 180 shares @ 63¢

1m ago

YES 0xff…1254 bought 50 shares @ 36¢

3m ago

NO 0xc4…77ae bought 900 shares @ 65¢

4m ago

YES 0x09…1aa3 bought 1240 shares @ 35¢

7m ago

YES 0xa2…ef10 bought 75 shares @ 36¢

12m ago

Top holders

1 0x8a…92f1 YES

12,450 shares

2 0xc4…77ae NO

9,820 shares

3 0x09…1aa3 YES

7,110 shares

4 0xff…1254 YES

5,280 shares

5 0x21…ab03 NO

4,650 shares